Following the Canadian Federal Election Results 2011
Voting Hours
Canada has staged voting hours. Most of the seats are decided at 9:30pm EST.
Newfoundland Time 8:30 a.m. – 8:30 p.m. (ends at 7pm EST)
-Newfoundland
Atlantic Time 8:30 a.m. – 8:30 p.m. (ends at 7:30 EST)
-PEI
-Nova Scotia
-New Brunswick
-possibly one seat in very east Quebec
Eastern Time 9:30 a.m. – 9:30 p.m. (ends at 9:30 EST)
-Ontario
-Quebec
Central Time 8:30 a.m. – 8:30 p.m. (ends at 9:30 EST)
-Manitoba
-half of Saskatchewan
Mountain Time 7:30 a.m. – 7:30 p.m. (ends at 9:30 EST)
-half of Saskatchewan
-Alberta
Pacific Time 7:00 a.m. – 7:00 p.m. ((ends at 10:00 EST)
-BC
Recommended Websites
308 - predictions with poll averaging.
Democratic Space - another prediction site.
Election Prediction - grassroots predictions, not purely based on polls.
Nanos Research - polling company with daily tracking polls (both regular and a kind of wonky leadership index poll).
Globe and Mail - mainstream newspaper
Wikipedia Election Results page - edits will probably get locked, but if it doesn't you'll find results here.
Twitter
#tweettheresults- campaign to share the results using twitter. You can read about this campaign
The best sources for results are
-twitter
-drudgereport.com (conservative website that likes to leak things)
-http://www.newswatchcanada.ca/ - canadian website based on drudge - quickly publishes polls. Election results - who knows?
-AM radio stations - if you live near Canada - List of CBC stations. Note: these stations will not be available online.
-befriending someone in Canada and getting them to relay the results to you (this is legal if done privately)
The role of advance voting
2 million Canadians voted in advance. My guess is that this will cause the NDP to do 0.5%-1% worse than the current polls (due to the last-minute nature of the NDP surge), to the benefit of the Liberals and Bloc Quebecois. If the NDP surge turns out to have stalled and reversed in the past day or two (a reversal that as of now hasn't showed up in the polls), then you might not see this effect.
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